Monday, February 20, 2012

Paul Krugman and Hoover's austerity measures

Economist and political hack Paul Krugman yesterday:
Specifically, in early 2010 austerity economics — the insistence that governments should slash spending even in the face of high unemployment — became all the rage in European capitals. The doctrine asserted that the direct negative effects of spending cuts on employment would be offset by changes in “confidence,” that savage spending cuts would lead to a surge in consumer and business spending, while nations failing to make such cuts would see capital flight and soaring interest rates. If this sounds to you like something Herbert Hoover might have said, you’re right: It does and he did.
Hoover did speak of a crisis in consumer confidence.  But it's hard to tell what austerity measures Krugman detects in Hoover's policy.

Megan McCardle explains last year:
According to the historical tables of the Office of Management and Budget, spending in 1929 was $3.1 billion, up from $2.9 billion the year before.  In 1930 it was $3.3 billion.  In 1931, Hoover raised spending to $3.6 billion.  And in 1932, he opened the taps to $4.7 billion, where it basically stayed into 1933 (most of which was a Hoover budget).  As a percentage of GDP, spending rose from 3.4% in 1930 to 8% in 1933--an increase larger than the increase under FDR, though of course thankfully under FDR, the denominator (GDP) had stopped shrinking.  
Where are Hoover's "savage spending cuts"?

What a hack.

2 comments:

  1. Bravo. I wish more people recognized Krugman's errors for what they are: politically motivated.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Between PolitiFact and Krugman I never lack for material. :-)

    ReplyDelete

Please remain on topic and keep coarse language to an absolute minimum. Comments in a language other than English will be assumed off topic.