The reasons for the increase are probably twofold. First, the enemy did cause an increase in deaths near Baghdad. Second, the Coalition is pressing its advantage with a new military offensive in what may be AQI's last significant outpost.
In short, the minor increase in casualties is entirely consistent with the trend of surge success in Iraq. Militarily, probably only the Democratic Party can stop Petraeus now. Though the Iraqi government hasn't exactly covered itself with glory over the past year. Long term success in Iraq still depends on key government actions.
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