Sunday, February 03, 2008

Iraq deaths nudge slightly higher for January

Deaths in Iraq for the two main categories I'm tracking (using data from Iraq Casualty Count) increased very slightly for January of this year, the sort of increase that might as well be called the continuation of a plateau in comparison to past fluctuation.




The reasons for the increase are probably twofold. First, the enemy did cause an increase in deaths near Baghdad. Second, the Coalition is pressing its advantage with a new military offensive in what may be AQI's last significant outpost.

In short, the minor increase in casualties is entirely consistent with the trend of surge success in Iraq. Militarily, probably only the Democratic Party can stop Petraeus now. Though the Iraqi government hasn't exactly covered itself with glory over the past year. Long term success in Iraq still depends on key government actions.

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