Though I neglected to label it as such, this graph represents the average number of fatalities per day. That figure offers a reasonable mid-month projection of how the month will stack up on the whole. The final figure could drop by as much as half (to 0.3) or potentially rise far over the current estimate if a large number of fatalities occur late in the month.
The general downward trend continues for fatalities. If the average keeps steady at its current level, it will represent the third-best month since the surge began.
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