Monday, September 15, 2008

Mid-month Iraq fatality update, September



The news remains good for the United States and bad for those invested in a U.S. defeat in Iraq.

The mid-month daily average of coalition fatalities stands at what would be a record low if the number holds up through the end of the month. Of course there's no way of telling whether or not that will happen. All we really know is that the number cannot sink below 0.2 per day without a revision in the individual fatality reports.

Recently I've been making a distinction between hostile and non-hostile deaths, based on the notion that hostile deaths provide a better measure of the degree of enemy activity directed against coalition troops. At this stage, only two of the six fatalities were classified as "hostile."

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