Friday, June 15, 2007

Criswell predicts: Stock Market

I predict that the stock market will experience a wider fluctuation, high and low, from June, 1968, though June, 1970, than any period in its erratic history.
--The Amazing Criswell
Not so good, Cris. First column is the year. Second column is the high. Third column is the low. The last column is the close--not that the close is a concern of Criswell's.


1962 734.38 524.55 652.1
1963 773.07 643.57 762.95
1964 897 760.34 874.13
1965 976.61 832.74 969.26
1966 1001.11 735.74 785.69
1967 951.57 776.16 905.11
1968 994.65 817.61 943.75
1969 974.92 764.45 800.36
1970 848.23 627.46 838.92
(from a Huxley something-or-other .edu personal page)

I've put the numbers from 1968-1970 in bold. Any figure above the the highest bold figure from outside the years in question makes half of Criswell's prediction false. Any figure below the lowest bold figure from outside '68-'70 makes the other half of the prediction false.

Figures higher and lower than the 1968-1970 period occurred not only in the varied history of the stock market, but both falsifying figures occurred within about seven years of Criswell's predicted window of wild fluctuation.

Not to worry, campers. The dust jacket of "Criswell Predicts" assures us that 87% of Criswell's predictions have come true!

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