Saturday, July 19, 2008

Michael J. Totten assesses Iraq

Advance warning: The "he" in the first quoted paragraph is independent journalist Michael Yon, who declared the Iraq War a win.

I’m reluctant to say “the war has ended,” as he did, but everything else he wrote is undoubtedly true. The war in Iraq is all but over right now, and it will be officially over if the current trends in violence continue their downward slide. That is a mathematical fact.

If you doubt it, look at the data.

Security incidents, or attacks, are at their lowest level in four years. Civilian deaths are down by almost 90 percent since General Petraeus’ counterinsurgency “surge” strategy went into effect. High profile attacks, or explosions, are down by 80 percent in the same time period. American and Iraqi soldiers suffer far fewer casualties than they have for years. Ethno-sectarian deaths from Iraq’s civil war plunged all the way down to zero in May and June 2008.

(michaeltotten.com)

Michael J. Totten is an independent journalist. Totten is reader supported, so follow the link to read and support.

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